Application of the Monte Carlo Simulation in Analysis of Earthquake-Induced Landslides (Case Study: the Manjil Earthquake)

Rajabi, A.M; Khamehchiyan, M; Mahdavifar, M.R

doi:10.22071/gsj.2014.43744

Application of the Monte Carlo Simulation in Analysis of Earthquake-Induced Landslides (Case Study: the Manjil Earthquake)

Document Type : Original Research Paper

Authors

A.M Rajabi ¹

M Khamehchiyan ²

M.R Mahdavifar ³

¹ Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Technology and Engineering, Qom University, Qom, Iran

² Associate Professor, Engineering Geology Department, Faculty of Basic Sciences, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran

³ Assistant Professor, Geotechnical Engineering Research Center, International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Tehran, Iran

10.22071/gsj.2014.43744

Abstract

One of the most important effects of the Manjil earthquake (M=7/7, 20/6/1990) has been triggering of the numerous landslides in the area affected by the earthquake. To predict landslides locations during the future earthquakes, it is essential to analyze the distribution of landslides triggered by the Manjil earthquake. In this paper, by employing the Monte Carlo Simulation, an area with 309 km² including Chahar – Mahal and Chalkasar rectangles (near the Manjil Epicentre) was investigated in order to achieve a probabilistic model to predict earthquake-induced landslides. There is a good correlation between the provided map and the inventory map of landslides occurred during the Manjil earthquake.

Keywords

Simulation

Monte Carlo

Manjil earthquake

Landslides caused by earthquakes

Probabilistic