ارزیابی دقت مدل هیبرید برنامه ریزی بیان ژن - منطق فازی در برآورد خطر فرونشست

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکترا، گروه زمین‌شناسی کاربردی، دانشکده علوم زمین، دانشگاه خوارزمی، تهران، ایران

2 استاد، گروه زمین‌شناسی کاربردی، دانشکده علوم زمین، دانشگاه خوارزمی، تهران، ایران

3 دانشیار، پژوهشکده علوم زمین، سازمان زمین‌شناسی و اکتشافات معدنی کشور، تهران، ایران

چکیده

فرونشست زمین فرآیندی غیرخطی و پیچیده است که مدل های هوش محاسباتی داده مبنا قادر هستند به مدلسازی آن بپردازند. در این مطالعه میزان دقت و کارایی مدل هیبرید برنامه ریزی بیان ژن - منطق فازی در برآورد خطر رخداد فرونشست زمین و عوامل موثر بر آن در آبخوان ورامین مورد ارزیابی قرار گرفت. بدین منظور پس از انتخاب و جمع آوری اطلاعات 15 فاکتور موثر بر رخداد فرونشست بر اساس سوابق تحقیق در محیطGIS، در مرحله اول توسط توابع عضویت فازی، این فاکتورها استاندارد شدند و سپس جهت تلفیق لایه ها از روش برنامه ریزی بیان ژن استفاده گردید. در نهایت با استفاده از 7 سنجنده آماری مهم بر مبنای داده های تصاویر رادار به صحت سنجی مدل بر مبنای 4 سناریوی متفاوت در داده های ورودی و عملگرها پرداخته شد. نتایج نشان داد سناریوی 1 با پارامترهای ورودی تراز سنگ بستر، دبی، افت آبهای زیرزمینی، زمین شناسی و عملگرهای -,+,×,÷,sqr,exp,Ln,^2,^3,3Rt,sin,cos,Atan، بهترین سناریو در مرحله آموزش و آزمون می باشد. بر همین اساس پارامتر افت آبهای زیرزمینی بیشترین تاثیر را بر میزان فرونشست زمین در منطقه مورد مطالعه داشته است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


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